Reproduced with the permission of the Scottish Naturalist
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                             By 
                              ADRIAN J. SHINE 
                            Loch 
                              Ness and Morar Project
                            It would be churlish, in view of all the 
                              recent additional information, to allow the sixtieth 
                              anniversary of the naming of the Loch Ness 'Monster' 
                              (Anon., 1933 - attributed to Mr. Alex Campbell)to pass entirely unremarked.For most people, certainly the majority of 
                              the casually interested members of the general public, 
                              the famous 'Surgeon's Photograph' of 1934 probably 
                              represents their idea of the archetypal Monster.Certainly this well-known photograph has figured 
                              in numerous publications over the past sixty-odd 
                              years, and a serious investigation and assessment 
                              of the photograph was published in the centenary 
                              (1988) volume of the Scottish Naturalist (LeBlond 
                            and Collins, 1988).
                            Acoustic 
                              Assessment of Fish Size
                            One consequence of the introduction of more 
                              quantifying acoustic techniques - in 
                              situ target strength measurement in particular 
                              , was the discovery that the great majority of pelagic 
                              fish in Loch Ness belonged to a very small size 
                              group, which were not caught prior to the trawling 
                              methods recently described (Shine, Martin and Marjoram, 
                              1993).Therefore 
                              there was a tendency to 'scale' large sonar echoes 
                              against gill-netted individuals of 20-30 cm, which 
                              in reality represented only a small proportion of 
                              the population. This imposes a further revision upon assessment 
                              of sonar contacts which are strong in relation to 
                            the surrounding fish echoes.
                            Estimates 
                              of 'Monster' Population
                            Sheldon and Kerr (1972) first attempted estimations 
                              of theoretical 'Monster' population density based 
                              on fish biomass.They used the morphoedaphic index (total 
                              dissolved solids/mean depth), devised by Ryder (1965), 
                              to estimate the fish population. Lacking genuine Loch Ness information, however, 
                              data was used from the northern basin of Loch Lomond. For Loch Ness, a fish standing stock of between 
                              0.55 and 2.75 kg/ha was calculated, or between 3.135 
                              and 15.675 tonnes in total.
                            
                            On-site acoustic estimates of resident pelagic 
                              fish in Loch Ness now range from 3.1 kg/ha (Shine, Martin and Marjoram, 1993) 
                              to 4.23 kg/ha (Kubecka, Duncan and Butterworth, 
                              1993), or between 17 and 24 tonnes in total, as 
                              compared to 300
                              
                              Vol 105, The Scottish Naturalist: Postscript: Surgeon or Sturgeon? 
                              p272
                            to 400 kg/ha in the upper River Thames (current 
                              acoustic estimate - Dr. J. Kubecka, pers. comm.). These estimates exceed those of Sheldon and 
                              Kerr, and may be accounted for by allochthonous 
                              organic inputs. Before hopes are raised too high, however, 
                              it should be borne in mind that predators upon this 
                              biomass should not amount to more than approximately 
                              a tenth of the gross weight.Thus we have available a total of approximately 
                              two tonnes of 'Monster', but this two tonnes may 
                              not be as great as it at first seems. For example, it would be equivalent to scarcely 
                              half the weight of a 36-ft (13 m) Whale Shark Rhinocodon typus.In fact, two tonnes divided into an absolute 
                              minimum viable population of, say, ten creatures, 
                            would give an individual weight of only 200 kg.
                              
                            In fish terms this could be equivalent to 
                              a Sturgeon Acipenser 
                              sturio 2.8 m in length (Maitland and Campbell, 
                              1992: 92).The 
                              above pelagic biomass estimates are somewhat academic 
                              since they do not include migratory Salmon Salmo 
                              salar or Sea Trout Salmo 
                              trutta, which may swim too close to the surface 
                              or too close inshore to be surveyed efficiently 
                              by acoustics. For 
                              the same reason the littoral fish habitat, which 
                              is richer than the pelagic, is not included since 
                              some of the fish, and all benthic fish e.g. Eels 
                              Anguilla anguilla, would be too close to the bottom to be detected. Nevertheless, it is now scarcely possible 
                              to argue a case for a population of resident 'Monster' 
                              predators.
                            
                            Fish 
                              the Most Likely Candidates
                              
                              
                              After 
                              dismissing the classic Monster photographs, Shine 
                              and Martin (1988) concluded that if, among the many 
                              recorded explanations for sighting reports, large 
                              unusual creatures were indeed involved, then fish 
                              would be the most likely candidates. This was based upon the facts that Loch Ness, 
                              as a proven refuge for cold-water Ice Age relict 
                              species, was one of the last places on earth likely 
                              to be favoured by reptiles, Jurassic or otherwise. Since there are no known marine amphibia, 
                              these could not, like almost all the other vertebrate 
                              inhabitants of the loch, have made their way up 
                              the river from the sea. Finally, any mammals should long ago have advertised 
                              their presence while breathing.
                              
                             
                            The 
                              largest aquatic animal to have been recognised in 
                              Loch Ness is the Common Seal Phoca 
                              vitulina (Williamson, 1988), some of which occasionally 
                              enter the loch, presumably in pursuit of migrating 
                              Salmon, and could have caused some sighting reports. Salmon, the largest recorded fish in the 
                              loch, migrate inland to spawn but do not feed in 
                              fresh-water, and this habit may perhaps provide 
                              a clue to another, much larger, possible candidate 
                              which could have contributed to the Loch Ness controversy.
                            
                            
                            Vol 
                              105, The Scottish Naturalist: Postscript: Surgeon 
                              or Sturgeon? p273
                            Resident 
                              Predators
                              
                              
                            A 
                              problem with a theoretical population of hitherto 
                              unrecorded predatory fish is that fish reproduction, 
                              whether by egg-laying or live-bearing, gives rise 
                              to relatively large numbers of small juveniles developing 
                              independent of parental care. It seems unlikely that these would have avoided capture by fishing 
                              over the years, either by towed lure or from the 
                              beach. They would also have had to evade the netting 
                              and trawling programmes described in Shine, Kubecka, 
                              Martin and Duncan (1993), let alone decades of illicit 
                              Salmon netting.
                               
                            It is not inconceivable, however, that along 
                              with the Salmon and the Common Seal, Loch Ness might 
                              have played host to another visitor.
                            
                            A 
                              Sturgeon?
                              
                              
                              The 
                              possibility of the afore-mentioned Sturgeon actually 
                              being responsible for the beginnings of the tradition, 
                              and for some sighting reports since then, is quite 
                              attractive. Sturgeons would not necessarily be immediately 
                              recognised as fish. They are very large, have a long upturned 
                              snout, and a dorsal fin set well back towards the 
                              tail (Figure 
                              1a, 2K) (Gould, 1934: 136).
                              
                            In 
                              1987 a Sturgeon, eleven feet (3.35 m) long and weighing 
                              900 lbs (408 kg) was found dead, floating in Lake 
                              Washington near Seattle, U.S.A., where stories of 
                              a 'Monster' had circulated (Albuquerque Journal, 7th November 1987). No-one would suggest, however, that Sturgeons 
                              would even begin to enter the reckoning, against 
                              the huge multi-humped manifestations of the 1930s 
                              ascribed by Baker (Observer, 26th August 1962), to boat wakes, or to many other reports. There is no one answer to the question of 
                              the Loch Ness Monster.
                            
                            
                              Sturgeons are cold-water 
                              northern hemisphere fish of very large size (up 
                              to >3.0 m) and of unusual appearance. They would be independent of the food resources, 
                              since, before entering the loch in order to spawn, 
                              they would cease feeding. Moreover, since Sturgeons are such rare visitors 
                              to British rivers, any which did succeed in passing 
                              the two weirs on the River Ness would be very unlikely 
                              to find mates. After a lonely vigil off one of the river mouths 
                              they would presumably leave again without issue, 
                              save, perhaps, for some interesting sighting reports.
                            
                            
                            Vol 
                              105, The Scottish Naturalist: Postscript: Surgeon 
                              or Sturgeon? p275 
                              
                            Gould's Early Investigations
                              
                              
                            In 
                              November 1933 Lt.-Commander R.T. Gould (1934: 30) 
                              listened to the account of Mr. John McLeod, who, 
                              some 20-30 years previously had seen, at the mouth 
                              of the River Moriston beneath the lowest fall, a 
                              creature with a "head like an eel and a long 
                              tapering tail". This is how a Sturgeon might appear from above. Another witness, Miss K. MacDonald, spoke 
                              of a "crocodile"-like creature, 6-8 feet 
                              long, ascending the River Ness and heading for the 
                              Holm Mills weir, in February 1932 (Gould, 1943: 
                              38). Rather 
                              more recently, in 1993, Mrs Marion MacDonald described 
                              to the author an experience at the Fort Augustus 
                              Abbey harbour. She saw what she first thought was a log, 
                              because of a distinctive 'scaly' bark pattern, but 
                              which then developed a wake and moved off to submerge, 
                              while she called her family. After 
                              she had sketched her impression (Figure 
                              2, 8K) she was shown an illustration of 
                              a Sturgeon's bony plates, and considered the pattern 
                              to be reminiscent of what she had seen.
                              
                             
                            For and Against a Sturgeon
                              
                              
                            Anyone, of course, can assemble sighting reports to support 
                              a pet theory, and this one is brought forward mainly 
                              to show that, even in the absence of significant 
                              food resources, the largest freshwater fish in existence 
                              could possibly have been seen at intervals in Loch 
                              Ness. Given the large number of other causes behind 
                              sighting reports (Binns and Bell, 1983; Campbell, 
                              1986), these intervals could be very long indeed.
                              
                            There is, however, a great deal more to the 
                              Loch Ness Monster than scientific probabilities, 
                              and the greatest argument against the Sturgeon or, 
                              more importantly, against any species of fish, is 
                              the long neck reported (Figure 
                              1b, 7K), although such reports are more 
                              rare than is generally realised. It should be borne in mind that the first 
                              report of a long neck was when the "nearest 
                              approach to a dragon or prehistoric animal" 
                              lurched its way across the hot tarmac in front of 
                              the Spicer's motor car in July 1933 (Inverness Courier, 4th August 1933). This 
                              unprecedented behaviour has never been reported 
                              since. Prior to this, the beast was usually considered 
                              to be an unusual fish; Inverness Courier, 8th October 1868 ("a huge fish"), Northern Chronicle, 27th August 1930 ("a 
                              fish.....or whatever it was") and Scottish Daily Express, 
                              9th June 1933 ("a mystery fish").
                            
                            Errors 
                              of Identification
                              
                              
                            Undoubtedly, some 'long-necked' 
                              reports originate from water birds, such as Mr. 
                              Alex. Campbell's sighting (Gould, 1934: 111), although 
                              this was subsequently revised as the archetypal 
                              plesiosaur (Witchell, 1975: 55). Some large long-necked animals have indeed 
                              been seen swimming in the loch. The author is aware of five
                            Vol 105, The Scottish Naturalist: Postscript: 
                              Surgeon or Sturgeon? p277
                             instances when such animals have subsequently been identified as swimming 
                              deer. On three occasions, photographs were taken 
                              (Figure 
                              3). It has been suggested by Burton (1961: 130-138) that some sightings, 
                              including some influential ones, could be due to 
                              such errors.
                            
                              Experiments 
                              with Human Perception
                              
                              
                              It 
                              is now well understood that human perception consists 
                              of much more than just image, retina and memory. In contrast to 'hard' evidence, such as photographs, 
                              however, it is very difficult to assess sightings 
                              evidence because it is not usually possible to stand 
                              beside the witness. An exception to this is if an incident is 
                              contrived.
                              
                            Mr. Richard Frere gives an account (Frere, 
                              1988: 175) of standing at a busy lay-by and, through 
                              a little theatrical behaviour, drawing attention 
                              to the turbulence caused by some trawler wakes. Reactions included sightings of various humps, 
                              long dark bodies, side flippers, and a thrashing 
                              tail. A drawing produced by a child showed a plesiosaur.
                            
                            On a less spectacular scale, members of the 
                              Project have also stood beside volunteer eye-witnesses, 
                              who were asked to observe an object surfacing and 
                              submerging. All 
                              were aware that we were contriving the incident, 
                              and it therefore seems possible that impressions 
                              were inspired less by pre-conceived Loch Ness Monster 
                              stereotypes than by concepts of the mechanism in 
                              the equipment. However, the results of this rather 'conservative' 
                              experiment (Figure 
                              4, 17K) are of some interest, since 31% 
                              of the 36 observers retained impressions at some 
                              variance with the 45 cm straight-sided post they had 
                              actually seen at a range of approximately 150 m.
                            
                            Given 
                              that variation exists between image and perception 
                              in such prepared observers, it seems likely that 
                              individuals, sighting unrecognised objects on Loch 
                              Ness, may well have their perceptions influenced 
                              by the well-known Monster stereotypes. It is certainly the case that the wider impression of events, as 
                              disseminated and recorded by the media, may bear 
                              little relationship to what was actually seen. For example, in a recent case Miss Edna MacInnes 
                              was widely reported as having seen a creature with 
                              a "giraffe-like" neck (Aberdeen Press and Journal, 25th June 
                              1993). When 
                              interviewed later she denied this, and stated that 
                              she had used the word "giraffe" in the 
                              context of conveying the sense of movement which 
                              the object made. Her drawing appears in Figure 
                            5 (12K).
                            
                            
                            Vol 
                              105, The Scottish Naturalist: Postscript: Surgeon 
                              or Sturgeon? p281 
                            
                              Some Conclusions
                              
                              
                              Burton 
                              (1961: 91) suggested that gas such as methane could 
                              bring decaying vegetation, perhaps including branches 
                              resembling necks, to the surface. In the main, the Project's work has shown 
                              little gas production in deep Loch Ness sediments. There are two exceptional areas, however; 
                              one is a small area in Urquhart Bay, and there is 
                              a larger one off Fort Augustus, where great quantities 
                              of organic material accumulate and emit gas continuously 
                              during the summer. On one occasion (Figure 
                              6, 19K colour chart), gas was detected from 
                              a source as deep as 97 m, which remained active 
                              for two weeks. It seems that vegetable debris, including branches, could break 
                              the surface in this particular 'Monster spot'.
                               
                            The morals of this story are two-fold. Firstly, large creatures may plausibly be 
                              witnessed in Loch Ness, whether or not science discovers 
                              sufficient red-herrings with which to feed them. On the other hand, the types of creatures suggested by science should 
                              not be over-ruled simply because they do not fit 
                              all witness perceptions.
                             
                            Those who find the author's attempts to modify the status 
                              of the very long-necked sightings unsatisfactory, 
                              may take comfort from the 'Surgeon's Photograph', 
                              standing guard over popular expectations for some 
                              sixty years, and confounding any science to take 
                              itself too seriously.
                            References
                            Anon. (1933). Strange spectacle on Loch Ness. What was it? (From a correspondent). Inverness 
                              Courier, 2nd May 1933.
                            
                            Binns, R. and Bell, R.J. (1983). The Loch Ness Mystery Solved. Shepton 
                              Mallet, Somerset: Open Books.
                            
                            Burton, M. (1961). The Elusive Monster.London: Hart 
                              Davies.
                            
                            Campbell, S. (1986). The Loch Ness Monster. The Evidence. Wellingborough, Northamptonshire: Aquarian Press.
                            
                            Frere, R. (1988).Loch Ness. London: John Murray.
                                
                            Gould, R.T. (1934). The Loch 
                              Ness Monster and Others. London: Geoffrey Bles.
                            
                            Kubecka, J., Duncan, A. and 
                              Butterworth, A.J. 
                              (1993). Large 
                              and small organisms detected in the open waters 
                              of Loch Ness by dual-beam acoustics. Scottish 
                            Naturalist, 105:  175-193.
                            
                            
                            Vol 
                              105, The Scottish Naturalist: Postscript: Surgeon 
                              or Sturgeon? p282
                             
                            Leblond, P.H. and Collins, 
                              M.J. (1988). The 
                              Wilson Nessie photograph: a size determination based 
                              on physical principles. Scottish Naturalist, 100: 
                              95-108.
                            
                            Maitland 
                              P.S. and Campbell, R.N. (1992). Freshwater 
                              Fishes of the British Isles. New Naturalist Library, No. 75. London: 
                              Harper Collins.
                              
                            Ryder, 
                              R.A. (1965). A 
                              method for estimating the potential fish production 
                              of north-temperate lakes. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society, 94: 214-218.
                            
                            Sheldon, 
                              R.W. and Kerr, S.R. (1972). The 
                              population density of Monsters in Loch Ness. Limnology 
                            and Oceanography, 17: 746-798.
                            
                            Shine, 
                              A.J. and Martin, D.S. 
                              (1988). Loch 
                              Ness habitats observed by sonar and underwater television. Scottish Naturalist, 100: 
                              111-199.
                            
                            Shine, 
                              A.J., Martin, D.S. and Marjoram, R.S. (1993). Spatial 
                              distribution and diurnal migration of the pelagic 
                              fish and zooplankton in Loch Ness. Scottish Naturalist, 105: 195-235.
                            
                            Williamson, 
                              G.R. (1988). Seals in Loch Ness. Scientific Reports of the Whales Research 
                              Institute, No. 39 (March 1988). Tokyo, Japan.
                            
                            Witchell, 
                              N. (1975). The 
                            Loch Ness Story. London: Penguin Books.
                            
                             
                             
                            Received 
                              July 1993
                            Mr. Adrian J. Shine,
                              Loch Ness and Morar Project,
                              Loch Ness Centre,
                              DRUMNADROCHIT, 
                              Inverness-shire
                              IV3 6TU.